Market’s Week in Review

May 22 - May 28, 2026

Short-Term ETF Price Targets

ETF

Short-Term Target

SPY

$722

QQQ

$685

Week’s Market Performance

Index

Current Level

Percent Change: Week

Percent Change: Year-to-Date

S&P 500

7,563.63

-0.25%

10.49%

NASDAQ 100

30,223.89

+0.41%

19.70%

VIX

15.71

+9.78%

4.52%

10-Year Treasury Yield

4.172%

-0.46%

0.00%

Gold

4,498.12

-2.85%

4.13%

Oil

89.36

+14.88%

55.58%

Market News

Nvidia Posts Record 85 Percent Revenue Growth as AI Infrastructure Demand Accelerates

Nvidia reported first-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings on May 20, 2026, delivering record revenue of $81.6 billion, an 85 percent year-over-year increase that surpassed Wall Street's consensus estimate of $79 billion. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.87, ahead of the $1.77 forecast, marking the chipmaker's 22nd earnings beat in the past 24 quarters. The company also announced an $80 billion share buyback program and raised its quarterly dividend to $0.25 per share, signaling management's confidence in sustained cash generation. Data center revenue, which is the primary driver of Nvidia's growth, was the dominant segment as cloud hyperscalers and enterprise customers continued to ramp up spending on AI training and inference infrastructure.

Despite the earnings beat, Nvidia shares slipped roughly 4 percent in the week following the report, a pattern that reflects how elevated investor expectations have become at the stock's current valuation. Analysts at Mizuho maintained their Outperform rating on the stock, reiterating that Nvidia controls over 75 percent of the AI chip market for data center applications, with a projected compound annual growth rate of approximately 60 percent through 2028, potentially surpassing $500 billion in cumulative revenue. For investors, the near-term price weakness represents a recurring dynamic where exceptional results are partially priced in ahead of reporting. The longer-term thesis remains intact: as enterprises accelerate AI deployment across industries, Nvidia's hardware and software ecosystem remains the dominant infrastructure layer, and the $80 billion buyback provides a meaningful floor for shareholder returns.

S&P 500 Clinches Fresh Record Highs Above 7500 as Markets Rebound From March Lows

The S&P 500 extended its 2026 recovery rally by closing at 7,520.36 on May 27, building on a streak of new all-time highs that began when the index first crossed 7,500 on May 14. The benchmark index has climbed more than 30 percent over the past year and roughly 6 percent year-to-date, erasing the sharp losses recorded in late March that were tied to escalating energy prices and geopolitical uncertainty stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict. Micron Technology's surge into the $1 trillion market capitalization club on May 26, following an 18 percent single-day rally after UBS tripled its price target to $1,625 per share, added momentum to the broader technology sector. The AI-driven memory chip shortage has significantly benefited Micron, whose stock has tripled in 2026 from its March 30 trough.

The index's advance has been uneven, with technology and AI-related names significantly outpacing the rest of the S&P 500. A Reuters poll of market forecasters published on May 27 projects the index will end 2026 slightly above current record levels, though strategists identified elevated energy prices and persistent inflation as the primary risks to that outlook. The Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates at 3.50 to 3.75 percent, with no cuts expected through 2027, limits the multiple expansion that typically accompanies falling rates. For investors, the market's resilience is encouraging, but the concentration of gains in a handful of AI and semiconductor names warrants caution about portfolio diversification heading into the second half of the year.

SpaceX Files Public S-1 With the SEC Targeting a Historic June IPO at Up to 2 Trillion Dollar Valuation

SpaceX formally published its S-1 registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission on May 20, 2026, making its financials publicly available for the first time ahead of what is expected to be the largest initial public offering in history. The company reported 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion, a 33 percent increase from the prior year, anchored by its Starlink satellite internet service, which ended 2025 with 9.2 million subscribers and over $11.4 billion in revenue. The company is targeting a valuation between $2 trillion and $2 trillion and aims to raise between $80 billion and $80 billion in the offering, which would dwarf the previous IPO record of $29 billion set by Saudi Aramco in 2020. A roadshow is expected to begin around June 4, with shares potentially beginning to trade as early as June 12. Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, and Morgan Stanley are serving as senior underwriters.

The IPO carries enormous implications for retail and institutional investors alike. SpaceX's February all-stock merger with Elon Musk's xAI venture added AI and cloud infrastructure exposure to the offering, expanding the investment thesis beyond aerospace. The company is considering a dual-class share structure to preserve insider voting control and plans to allocate up to 30 percent of shares to retail investors, roughly three times the industry norm. On May 26, the U.S. Space Force awarded SpaceX a $2.29 billion contract to build the backbone of its Space Data Network, further reinforcing its role as a critical defense contractor. A successful listing at the reported valuation would immediately place SpaceX among the top six most valuable publicly traded companies in the world, sitting above every S&P 500 constituent except Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon.

US Iran Conflict Keeps Oil Markets Volatile as Brent Crude Hovers Near 93 Dollars a Barrel

Oil markets remained on edge this week as investors navigated conflicting signals about the status of a potential U.S.-Iran peace deal. Brent crude, the global benchmark, fell more than 3 percent on May 27, settling near $93 per barrel for August delivery, while West Texas Intermediate crude dropped more than 4 percent to approximately $90 per barrel. The declines followed reports that a temporary truce was holding, even as new military exchanges between the U.S. and Iranian vessels introduced fresh uncertainty. President Donald Trump indicated that a deal had been "largely negotiated," including provisions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, but Secretary of State Marco Rubio cautioned that a proposed tolling system in the strait would make a diplomatic agreement unfeasible. The national average gasoline price fell three cents to $4.46 per gallon, while diesel remained at $5.58, still approximately 49 percent higher than pre-conflict levels.

The broader market impact of the oil situation is significant. The International Energy Agency warned that global oil inventories could enter a "red zone" this summer if the Strait of Hormuz does not fully reopen, as seasonal demand rises during the peak travel period. IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol noted that current inventory drawdowns leave little buffer against supply disruptions. Analysts at ING projected an average Brent price of $104 per barrel in the current quarter, while UBS raised its oil price forecasts by $10 per barrel, projecting Brent at $105 and WTI at $97 in September. For investors, elevated energy prices feed directly into inflation, complicating the Federal Reserve's already difficult task of maintaining price stability without tipping the economy into recession. Energy sector equities and commodities funds remain key portfolio considerations as long as the geopolitical situation stays unresolved.

Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady at 3.50 to 3.75 Percent as Inflation Climbs and Leadership Transition Nears

The Federal Reserve held its benchmark federal funds rate unchanged in the range of 3.50 to 3.75 percent at its April 28 to 29 meeting, the third consecutive meeting at which the Federal Open Market Committee opted to stand pat after implementing three consecutive cuts in late 2025. The April decision was notable for producing the highest level of internal dissent since 1992, reflecting deep divisions among policymakers over how to respond to an inflation environment complicated by soaring energy prices. The FOMC's post-meeting statement acknowledged that inflation remains elevated, "part reflecting recent increases in global energy prices," a direct reference to the impact of the U.S.-Iran conflict on domestic fuel costs. Consumer Price Index inflation rose from 2.4 percent in February to 3.3 percent in March, with gasoline prices as the primary driver, and Core PCE inflation for 2026 is projected at 2.7 percent, still meaningfully above the Fed's 2 percent target.

The April meeting may have been Chair Jerome Powell's last in charge, as a leadership transition at the institution approaches. Market participants are currently pricing in no rate changes for the remainder of 2026 and into 2027, a significant shift from the rate-cut expectations that prevailed at the start of the year. The U.S. economy grew at a 2.0 percent annualized rate in the first quarter of 2026, while the April jobs report showed nonfarm payrolls increased by just 115,000, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent, above the pre-pandemic average of 3.7 percent. The next employment situation report, covering May, is scheduled for release on June 5. For investors, the combination of sticky inflation, constrained monetary policy, and slowing payroll growth signals a more complex macro environment ahead, one where equity valuations will be tested by higher-for-longer borrowing costs and persistent cost pressures across supply chains.


Major Earnings

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) – June 2, After Market Close

Financial Trends: PANW's FY2026 full-year revenue is guided at $11.28B–$11.31B (22–23% YoY growth), with non-GAAP EPS guided at $0.78–$0.80 for Q3 and operating margins holding above 30% for three consecutive quarters.


Strategic Initiatives: The platformization strategy is accelerating, with 110 net new platformizations in Q2 alone—up from 60 in Q1—and XSIAM customer count surging over 200% YoY, alongside the newly launched Idira AI security platform.


Key Metrics: Investors will focus on Next-Generation Security (NGS) ARR (guided $7.94B–$7.96B, +56% YoY), Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) targeted at $17.85B–$17.95B, and non-GAAP operating margin trajectory.


Progress: NGS ARR reached $6.33B in Q2 (+33% YoY), RPO is expanding strongly, and the company has secured a strategic NATO partnership that validates its enterprise and government positioning.


Focus Areas: Analysts will probe platformization deal velocity, AI security product monetization, acquisition integration costs from recent deals, and whether FY2026 free cash flow margin guidance of ~37% remains intact.


Risks Potential: Rising acquisition-related share dilution, margin pressure from integration costs, and elevated competition from CRWD and Microsoft in the AI-native security segment are key headwinds.


Concerns: Q3 non-GAAP EPS guidance of $0.78–$0.80 trails the Zacks consensus of $0.91, and shares fell 5–7% post-Q2 despite a beat, suggesting the market is penalizing guidance conservatism and dilution.


Market Trends: Enterprise security consolidation spending favors platform vendors like PANW, and rising AI-driven threat complexity is expanding total addressable market for next-gen security operations solutions.

CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) – June 3, After Market Close

Financial Trends: CrowdStrike guided FY2027 (ending Jan 2027) revenue at $5.87B–$5.93B and non-GAAP EPS of $4.78–$4.90, reflecting confidence in sustained ~20% ARR growth reacceleration following the July 2024 outage recovery.


Strategic Initiatives: Project QuiltWorks has expanded beyond technical cyber defense into cyber insurance, underwriting, and financial risk modeling, with partners including Liberty Mutual, Coalition, Marsh, and Lockton—broadening CRWD's platform stickiness.


Key Metrics: Net new ARR, total ARR growth, customer retention/gross retention rate, and Falcon Flex adoption rates are the core metrics Wall Street will scrutinize for fiscal Q1 FY2027 results.


Progress: Q4 FY2026 non-GAAP EPS came in at $1.12, beating the $0.74 estimate by 51%, and the stock has rallied ~66% since that March 3 print, signaling strong confidence in recovery momentum.


Focus Areas: Management commentary on Falcon platform module consolidation, AI-powered threat intelligence differentiation, and whether net new ARR accelerates above the $221M record set in Q2 FY2026 will dominate the call.


Risks Potential: Residual customer attrition from the July 2024 software outage, a highly competitive market with SentinelOne and Microsoft Defender, and macro-driven enterprise IT budget scrutiny remain active risks.


Concerns: Despite strong guidance, the stock trades near all-time highs above $670, meaning any revenue miss or soft net new ARR print could trigger a significant pullback given elevated valuation.


Market Trends: AI-enhanced threat detection, the shift to cloud-native security platforms, and rising regulatory requirements for endpoint protection are structural tailwinds that continue to expand CrowdStrike's addressable market.

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) – June 3, After Market Close

Financial Trends: Q2 FY2026 consensus estimates project record revenue of ~$22.08B (vs. $19.31B in Q1, +29% YoY) and EPS of ~$2.40, with AI semiconductor revenue alone expected to hit ~$10.7B—a ~27% sequential jump.


Strategic Initiatives: Broadcom is rapidly expanding its custom AI silicon roster, adding OpenAI as its sixth named hyperscaler customer (alongside Google, Anthropic, Meta, and two others), while VMware integration continues to drive software revenue above one-third of total sales.


Key Metrics: AI revenue growth (Q1: $8.4B, +106% YoY), VMware subscription ARR, semiconductor solutions margin, and infrastructure software revenue retention are the primary investor scorecards.


Progress: Management has issued a bold $100B+ AI chip revenue target by 2027, anchored by a confirmed six-customer custom silicon pipeline, and Q1 net income rose to $7.35B ($1.50/share), up from $5.50B a year ago.


Focus Areas: Q2 AI revenue guidance commentary, any new custom silicon customer announcements, VMware cross-sell attach rates, and FY2026 full-year EPS trajectory toward the $16.36 street estimate will be closely watched.


Risks Potential: US export controls on advanced AI chips to China, geopolitical tension disrupting semiconductor supply chains, and customer concentration risk among a small group of hyperscalers are the most prominent headwinds.


Concerns: AVGO trades at a ~47% premium to its GF Value of $289.60 at current levels near $426, and any moderation in AI capex from hyperscalers could quickly compress the lofty valuation multiple.


Market Trends: Hyperscaler AI infrastructure buildouts continue at record pace in 2026, with custom ASICs gaining share over general-purpose GPUs as cost-efficiency and performance demands drive differentiated silicon procurement.

Meet Evan Buenger

Evan Buenger, Editor of the Bull and Bear Brief

From a young age, Evan was fascinated by the stock market. At just 11 years old, he received a Wall Street Journal subscription for his birthday, sparking a lifelong passion for investing. Evan spent his formative years studying the strategies and philosophies of legendary investors like Paul Tudor Jones, Stanley Druckenmiller, and George Soros, absorbing their wisdom and developing his own unique approach to the markets.

As Evan's knowledge grew, he began to incorporate the time-tested, technically-based strategies of trading legends like William O'Neil and Richard Wyckoff into his own investment framework. By borrowing elements from each and rigorously testing them in real-time, Evan created a powerful conglomerate strategy that encompasses fundamentals, technicals, and macroeconomics.

Today, Evan is a professional trader and was a top contender in the 2020 US Investing Championship. His extraordinary performance, with a 141.8% return, is a testament to his studious background, well-informed approach, and unwavering dedication to his craft.

At the core of Evan's strategy is identifying stocks that benefit from sector trends and rotation. By combining fundamental analysis with a focus on relative strength and advanced technical analysis techniques, Evan is able to identify the stocks that are most likely to move higher or lower over the intermediate term.

While he keeps a close eye on macroeconomic trends, his willingness to adapt to changing market conditions, as well as his developed ability to know when to and not to act in a fast-moving market, is what sets him apart. Evan has consistently demonstrated his ability to navigate even the most challenging investment environments. His impressive track record and unique perspective make him a valuable voice in the world of finance, and he is thrilled to have the opportunity to share his insights and expertise with subscribers of the Bull and Bear Brief.

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