
Market’s Week in Review
June 9-June 13, 2025
Short-Term ETF Price Targets
ETF | Short-Term Target |
---|---|
SPY | $587 |
QQQ | $518 |
Week’s Market Performance
Index | Current Level | Percent Change: Week | Percent Change: Year-to-Date |
---|---|---|---|
S&P 500 | 5,976.97 | -0.48% | +1.62% |
NASDAQ 100 | 21,631.04 | -0.77% | +2.95% |
VIX | 21.09 | +22.90% | +21.77% |
10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.41% | -1.61% | -3.72% |
Gold | $3,432.27 | +3.20% | +30.78% |
Oil | $73.10 | +11.96% | +1.82% |
Market News
The AI Scapegoat Myth: Uncovering the Real Causes Behind Shrinking White-Collar Job Markets
Recent data reveals a decline in white-collar job openings, but experts are cautioning against attributing this trend to the rise of artificial intelligence (AI). According to a report by the Wall Street Journal, factors such as economic uncertainty and shifting industry priorities are more immediate reasons for the slowdown in employment opportunities for professionals. Economists highlight that while AI and automation pose long-term challenges, current market conditions and corporate strategies are more influential in today's job market dynamics. Specifically, the transition to remote work and increased focus on cost-cutting measures have reshaped hiring patterns in sectors like finance, legal, and consulting.
Furthermore, companies are prioritizing roles that align with digital transformation and cybersecurity over traditional white-collar positions, driven by the need to adapt to rapidly changing business environments. Bloomberg reports that this shift in focus has led to a reallocation of resources towards technology-driven roles, leaving conventional jobs on the back burner. Analysts suggest that while AI may eventually transform the employment landscape, it is not yet the primary driver of the current downturn. This nuanced understanding helps businesses and job seekers better navigate the evolving labor market. As companies continue to adapt to economic pressures and technological advancements, the key is to remain agile in workforce planning and career development.
Airstrikes in the Middle East: A Catalyst for Global Diplomatic Efforts
Israel launched a series of airstrikes on Iran, prompting immediate calls for restraint from world leaders amid rising concerns over regional stability. The military actions, which took place overnight, are reported to have targeted strategic sites within Iran, escalating tensions in an already volatile area. According to Reuters, the strikes were a response to what Israel described as imminent threats from Iranian forces. This development has drawn reactions from the United Nations and major powers, including the United States and European Union, all urging for de-escalation to prevent a broader conflict.
The financial markets reacted promptly, with oil prices seeing a noticeable increase due to fears of potential disruptions in the Middle East, a key region for global energy supplies. Bloomberg reported that Brent crude rose by 2.5% to $86.50 per barrel following the news, reflecting investor anxiety over supply chain stability. Analysts from J.P. Morgan noted that prolonged instability in the region could lead to higher volatility in energy markets, impacting global inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, defense stocks saw a surge as investors anticipated increased military spending. The Financial Times highlighted concerns over potential ripple effects on global trade routes, particularly the Strait of Hormuz, through which a significant percentage of the world's oil shipments pass. As diplomatic channels work to address the crisis, the events underscore the fragile balance of global geopolitical dynamics.
Young Job Seekers Face Stiff Headwinds in a Changing Labor Market
The U.S. labor market is presenting significant challenges for workers, particularly for young job seekers, as employee confidence levels have plummeted to 44.1% in May, according to Glassdoor's recent report. Economic uncertainty, potential tariffs, and rising layoffs contribute to this bleak outlook, with mentions of layoffs on the Glassdoor site increasing by 9%. Data from Challenger, Gray & Christmas indicates that job cuts in May 2025 surged by 47% compared to the previous year, totaling 93,816 job cuts versus 63,816 in May 2024. Although the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported an addition of 139,000 jobs in May, this figure remains lower than April's 147,000, signaling a cooling in job creation. Entry-level employees are particularly affected, with their confidence level dropping to 43.4%, the lowest since 2016, as they encounter scarce job opportunities and fierce competition.
The grim job landscape is exemplified by Katherine Diep, a 21-year-old business economics graduate from the University of California Irvine, who has applied to over 200 jobs in events marketing without success. Glassdoor's lead economist Daniel Zhao notes that the economic uncertainty has employers hesitant to open new roles, impacting young graduates' ability to climb the career ladder. The lack of hiring means that entry-level workers face more competition due to layoffs of experienced workers, leading to a "bunching at the bottom" of the career ladder with many vying for the same positions. Zhao emphasizes the importance of growth and career opportunities for younger workers, who struggle to map out their career paths amidst limited advancement prospects. Despite setbacks, some, like Ngina Valdez, a communications and computer science graduate from Syracuse University, remain optimistic by continuously refining their job application materials to improve their chances. This challenging environment requires young workers to adapt and persist in their job search endeavors.
Meta's AI App Displays Prompts Publicly: Privacy Settings in the Spotlight
Meta Platforms has unveiled a new AI app that publicly shares user prompts by default, sparking privacy concerns among users and tech experts alike. This development comes as the company continues its push into AI-driven services, following the strategic direction set by CEO Mark Zuckerberg to integrate artificial intelligence across its product suite. Users of the application are advised to navigate to the settings menu to change the default public sharing option to private if they wish to keep their interactions confidential. The move aligns with Meta's broader strategy to leverage AI for user engagement while raising questions about data privacy and user consent.
The introduction of this feature has prompted discussions about the implications for user data and privacy, particularly as Meta faces ongoing scrutiny over its data handling practices. Experts argue that while AI tools can enhance user experience, default public settings could expose sensitive user information, necessitating a more transparent approach from Meta. This situation underscores the growing tension between technological innovation and privacy rights, with significant implications for industry standards. As users become increasingly aware of data privacy issues, companies like Meta may need to rethink default settings to prioritize user consent and trust. The outcome of this feature's rollout could impact user adoption rates and influence how other tech giants approach AI integrations.
Amazon's Health-Care Overhaul: Streamlining for Success
Amazon is restructuring its health-care division into six core "pillars" to streamline operations in a sector where it has invested billions through acquisitions. This strategic reorganization aims to enhance efficiency and integration as Amazon continues to expand its footprint in the health-care market, a space characterized by rapid innovation and significant competition. The move comes after Amazon's notable acquisitions, including the $3.9 billion purchase of One Medical, which underscored its commitment to establishing a robust presence in health care. By consolidating its health-care initiatives, Amazon seeks to leverage its technological prowess to improve service delivery and customer experience across its medical ventures.
The six pillars will focus on different aspects of health care, including pharmacy services, primary care, and health diagnostics, among others. This initiative is expected to position Amazon as a more agile competitor against established health-care giants like CVS Health and Walgreens Boots Alliance. Analysts suggest that this restructuring could unlock new revenue streams and drive innovation, as Amazon continues to integrate advanced technologies like artificial intelligence and machine learning into its operations. As health care becomes increasingly digital, Amazon's reorganization may also facilitate partnerships with other tech firms and health-care providers, further enhancing its market share. This strategic pivot highlights Amazon's ambition to transform health care delivery, potentially setting new standards in the industry.
Editor’s Chart of the Day

This chart is of Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) showing its current high relative strength vs. its sector and the market in recent weeks. It is above its 20-day, 50-day and 200-day moving averages as it makes new recent highs while the broader sector and market take a breather. The stock retested support at the 20-day moving average early last week and then shot higher the rest of the week. While the stock has been relatively strong relative to its software sector, the overall sector has been struggling to make new highs in recent weeks, along with the rest of the market. Management projects 21.0% revenue growth in 2025, but also projects earnings to be down 10.7% as the company invests in its growth. Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. is a stock to watch if the software sector continues to outperform relative to the rest of the market, provided the stock can maintain its relative strength in the sector.
Major Earnings
Lennar Corporation (LEN) – June 16, 2025, After Market Close
Financial Trends: LEN faces margin pressure with Q2 EPS expected to decline 41.7% to $1.97 versus $3.38 last year, while revenues are projected down 5.3% to $8.3 billion.
Strategic Initiatives: The company completed its land-light strategy transition with the Millrose spin-off and integrated Rausch Coleman Homes to expand affordable housing offerings.
Key Metrics: Investors will focus on home deliveries (guidance: 19,500-20,500 units), average selling prices ($390,000-$400,000 range), and gross margins amid affordability pressures.
Progress: LEN successfully spun off Millrose during Q1, reduced owned homesite supply to 0.2 years from 1.3 years, and increased controlled homesite percentage to 98%.
Focus Areas: Management will likely address dynamic pricing strategies, mortgage rate buydown programs, and progress on the 10% growth target for FY25.
Risks Potential: Persistent high mortgage rates, rising construction costs, and continued housing affordability challenges threaten demand and margin recovery.
Concerns: Delivery ASP guidance represents an 8% decline year-over-year, while the housing market remains uncertain despite pent-up demand expectations.
Market Trends: The $590 billion US residential market is expected to grow at 4% CAGR through 2029, driven by millennial homebuying and chronic housing supply shortages.
Darden Restaurants (DRI) – June 20, 2025, Before Market Open
Financial Trends: DRI delivered solid Q3 performance with 6.2% total sales growth to $3.16 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.80, up 6.9% year-over-year.
Strategic Initiatives: The company completed its Chuy's acquisition integration and continues accelerating unit growth targeting the high end of its 2-3% annual expansion rate.
Key Metrics: Investors will monitor same-restaurant sales growth (Q3: 0.7%), segment profit margins, and performance across Olive Garden, LongHorn, and Fine Dining divisions.
Progress: LongHorn Steakhouse showed strong momentum with 2.6% same-restaurant sales growth, while the company maintained restaurant-level EBITDA margins at 20.9%.
Focus Areas: Management will likely discuss weather impact mitigation, digital marketing effectiveness, and strategies to address Fine Dining segment weakness.
Risks Potential: Commodity price inflation, labor cost pressures, and consumer spending shifts away from higher-priced dining segments pose ongoing challenges.
Concerns: Fine Dining segment posted negative 0.8% same-restaurant sales, reflecting pressure from consumers trading down due to economic uncertainty.
Market Trends: Casual dining benefits from value-seeking consumers, while fine dining faces headwinds as diners become more price-conscious amid economic pressures.
CarMax Inc (KMX) – June 20, 2025, Before Market Open
Financial Trends: KMX demonstrated strong momentum with Q3 EPS of $0.80 representing over 50% growth, driven by 5.8% unit sales increase and solid margin performance.
Strategic Initiatives: The company continues expanding its omni-channel capabilities, with digital features now supporting over 80% of used car sales and 58% classified as omni sales.
Key Metrics: Investors will track retail unit sales growth, omni-channel penetration rates, CarMax Auto Finance income, and provisions for loan losses amid industry credit pressures.
Progress: CarMax achieved 4.3% comparable store sales growth and implemented a new nationwide order processing system enhancing customer experience and conversion rates.
Focus Areas: Management will address credit quality trends, CAF lending strategy, reconditioning operation improvements, and continued digital transformation progress.
Risks Potential: Industry-wide credit challenges with rising delinquency rates and loan loss provisions threaten CAF profitability and overall earnings growth.
Concerns: CAF income declined 14% in Q2 due to increased loan losses, while SG&A expenses rose 4% year-over-year from compensation and occupancy costs.
Market Trends: Used car market stabilization and improved vehicle valuation environment support CarMax's diversified business model and growth prospects.
Meet Evan Buenger

Evan Buenger, Editor of the Bull and Bear Brief
From a young age, Evan was fascinated by the stock market. At just 11 years old, he received a Wall Street Journal subscription for his birthday, sparking a lifelong passion for investing. Evan spent his formative years studying the strategies and philosophies of legendary investors like Paul Tudor Jones, Stanley Druckenmiller, and George Soros, absorbing their wisdom and developing his own unique approach to the markets.
As Evan's knowledge grew, he began to incorporate the time-tested, technically-based strategies of trading legends like William O'Neil and Richard Wyckoff into his own investment framework. By borrowing elements from each and rigorously testing them in real-time, Evan created a powerful conglomerate strategy that encompasses fundamentals, technicals, and macroeconomics.
Today, Evan is a professional trader and was a top contender in the 2020 US Investing Championship. His extraordinary performance, with a 141.8% return, is a testament to his studious background, well-informed approach, and unwavering dedication to his craft.
At the core of Evan's strategy is identifying stocks that benefit from sector trends and rotation. By combining fundamental analysis with a focus on relative strength and advanced technical analysis techniques, Evan is able to identify the stocks that are most likely to move higher or lower over the intermediate term.
While he keeps a close eye on macroeconomic trends, his willingness to adapt to changing market conditions, as well as his developed ability to know when to and not to act in a fast-moving market, is what sets him apart. Evan has consistently demonstrated his ability to navigate even the most challenging investment environments. His impressive track record and unique perspective make him a valuable voice in the world of finance, and he is thrilled to have the opportunity to share his insights and expertise with subscribers of the Bull and Bear Brief.
Subscribe to Stock Portfolio Recommendations Newsletter to read the rest.
Become a paying subscriber of the Bull and Bear Brief: Stock Portfolio Recommendations Newsletter to get access to this post and other subscriber-only content.
Upgrade to Stock Portfolio Recommendations NewsletterA subscription gets you:
- Expert-curated stock trades delivered weekly to strategically build your wealth-generating portfolio
- Real-time position management with timely alerts on existing holdings—ensuring you capture profits and minimize losses with precision timing
- Monthly Q&A where we address paid subscriber questions, examine real-world scenarios, and discuss current market conditions
- Regular reviews of both successful and unsuccessful trade recommendations, analyzing what worked, what didn't, and the lessons we can extract